Kondratiev's Cyclic Approach to the Description of Structural Changes in the Technosphere
The article discloses the relationship of economic methodological approaches. Kondratieff with new methodological ideas of the philosophy of technology within the general philosophical and cultural context of modern science. The idea of a cycle in the philosophy of technology and its connection with the Kondratiev cycles is considered by the method of comparison and search for analogies. It is shown that economic cycles are repetitive in character and the same cycles are characteristic of the technosphere. Economic recovery is similar to the rise in the number of inventions that occur as a result of a major technological discovery. A new concept is introduced – technorhythmology, which is the main futurological method and is considered as a new way in the problem of studying the role of technology in society and culture. Technorhythmology is analogous to the Kondratiev cycles in the philosophy of technology. Such an analogy is possible, since the economic structures, according to Kondratieff, have something in common with the structures of changes in the technosphere. This general is based on the connection of ups and downs caused by a significant bifurcation event. The application of a method analogous to the Kondratieff cycles for the philosophy of technology is possible due to the existence of just such a starting point. Great attention has been paid to the problems of interaction between new technical inventions and their influence on modern reality. The extent of the relationship between early and late inventions and the relationship of economic downturns and upswings are described.
1. Tsiklichnosti teorii (The theory of cyclicity). Sovetskaya istoricheskaya entsiklopediya : v 9 t. (The Soviet historical encyclopedia: in 9 vol.). Ed. by E. M. Zhukov. Moscow, 1980. Vol. 7. Available at: http://dic.academic. ru/dic.nsf/sie/19708/TSIKLICHNOSTI (accessed 20 December 2017) (in Russian).
2. Grinin L. E. Verbalnaya model sootnosheniya dlinnykh kondratevskikh voln i srednesrochnykh zhyuglyarovskikh tsiklov [Verbal model of the ratio of long Kondratieff waves to medium-term jugular cycles]. In: Istoriya i matematika: analiz i modelirovaniye globalnoy dinamiki [History and mathematics: Analysis and modeling of global dynamics]. Eds. A. V. Korotayev, S. Yu. Malkov, L. E. Grinin. Moscow, 2010, pp. 44–111 (in Russian).
3. Korotayev A. V., Tsirel S. V. Kondratyevskiye volny v mirovoy ekonomicheskoy dinamike [Kondratiev waves in the world economic dynamics]. In: Sistemnyy monitoring. Globalnoye i regionalnoye razvitiye [System monitoring. Global and regional development]. Eds. D. A. Khalturin, A. V. Korotayev. Moscow, 2009, pp. 189–229 (in Russian).
4. Pokrovskiy V. N. Energy in the theory of production. Energy, June 2003, vol. 28, no. 8, pp. 769–788.
5. Korotayev A. V., Grinin L. Ye. Kondratyevskiye volny v mir-sistemnoy perspective [Kondratiev waves in the world-systemic perspective]. In: Kondratyevskiye volny. Aspekty i perspektivy [Kondratieff waves: dimensions and prospects]. Eds. A. A. Akayev, R. S. Grinberg, L. E. Grinin, A. V. Korotayev, S. Yu. Malkov. Volgograd, 2012, pp. 58–109 (in Russian).
6. Mikhelkevich V. N., Radomskiy V. M. Osnovy nauchnotekhnicheskogo tvorchestva [Basics of scientifi c and technical creativity]. Rostov-on-Don, 2004. 320 p. (in Russian).
7. Ikenson B. Patents: Ingenious Inventions: How they work and How they came to be. New York, 2004. 228 p.
8. Mitcham C. Thinking through Technology: The Path between Engineering and Philosophy. Chicago, 1994. 405 p.